How Much Weight Could You Lose by Giving Up Soda?
Giving up regular soda can lower your calorie intake if you do not replace those calories elsewhere. The amount of weight you might lose depends on your usual drinks, the rest of your diet and changes over time.
Start with what you currently drink
Check your food log to see how often you have regular soda and how many calories each serving contains. Add those entries across a typical week to understand how much of your recorded energy intake comes from fizzy drinks.

There is no single amount of weight that everyone will lose by removing them. Someone who drinks soda often has more calories available to cut than someone who only has it occasionally, but the eventual change still depends on the whole diet.
What happens when you remove those calories
Body weight tends to fall when your average energy intake stays below the energy you use. If dropping soda creates that gap and everything else remains broadly similar, it may contribute to gradual weight loss.

Your log can show the calories removed, but it cannot predict an exact result. Energy needs, activity, appetite, body size and normal shifts in body water all influence what appears on the scale.
What you drink instead matters
Replacing soda with water or another very low-calorie option usually keeps more of the calorie reduction in place. Replacing it with another calorific drink may narrow the difference or remove it entirely.

You may also feel hungrier or choose larger portions after changing a familiar habit. Keep tracking both drinks and food so you can see whether the missing calories quietly return elsewhere.
Judge the change over time
Compare your average intake before and after the change rather than focusing on one day. Also look at your weight trend across several consistent weigh-ins, because daily readings can move for reasons unrelated to body fat.
If your average calorie intake falls and stays lower, giving up soda can support weight loss. The exact amount cannot be known in advance, so use your own log and longer-term trend rather than a fixed promise.